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MARKING
THE PAST PERFORMANCES
A HANDICAPPING HABIT shared by racegoers is marking the past performances of the Daily Racing Form. The markings provide clues to the abilities of horses, as perceived by the handicapper. The habit becomes deeply instinctive. Most handicappers begin the handicapping process by marking the Form with numbers and symbols that represent mental codes understood solely by the individual. TO FOLLOW THIS SECTION PLEASE HAVE IN FRONT OF YOU A COPY OF THE DAILY RACING FORM OR AN OFFICIAL TRACK PROGRAM THAT CONTAINS THE HORSES' PAST PERFORMANCES MARKING THE PAST PERFORMANCES Use lines, circles, and symbols to emphasize these PURPOSE FINDING
THE "GOOD" RACES First, from top to bottom, review the past performances and draw a line under the running line of the most recent winning race. Second, move up the past performances from the latest win, and in the margin use a hash mark to identify any race that has been "good." A good race means a finish in the money, or within two lengths in sprints, within three lengths in routes. By completing two small steps, handicappers have identified the "good" performances in a horse's recent record. For horses 4up, the procedure captures each horse's relative class fairly well. Also, when rating methods are used, the ratings will usually be extracted from the "good" races. These races best represent the horses' abilities and preferences. Handicappers prefer to rate horses when they have performed well, not when they have disappointed, or finished up the course. A few
definitions are important: ACCEPTABLE
RACE BIG
WIN Trainers can also be designated as positive (+), acceptable (N), or negative (0). So can jockey switches. So can sires, owners, and breeders, whenever the situation invites marks for those contributions. CHECKING
THE TRAINERS AND JOCKEYS Award trainers a plus sign under these circumstances 1. Ranks among the leaders at the meeting, as indicated by a win percent of 20% or better. Inversely,
if trainers win with 8 percent of their starters, have been ineffective
in situations like today's, or have been cold lately, assign them
a zero. 1. Ranks among the leaders at the meeting, as indicated by a win percent of 20% or better. Be cautious when assigning jockeys a zero. Riders are not nearly as significant in handicapping as are trainers, and are notoriously over-criticized. If jockeys, especially leaders, have been unequivocally cold, give them a zero. Clearly unfavorable switches also deserve a zero. So does a weak rider under testing circumstances, as in important stakes, in contentious grass races featuring classy horses, or exiting the far outside posts at middle distances on mile ovals. Otherwise, jockeys can be assigned the N, for acceptable. Under questionable or unknown circumstances, afford jockeys the benefit of the doubt, an N. Weak jockeys, and minor jockeys, win races every day, and many pay juicy mutuels.
T H E
E S S E N T I A L S
Handicapping: Factors, Process, Applications, Methods Extras: Pedigree Database, The Horse, Links, Race Tracks |
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