UNPREDICTABLE
RACES
All
things considered, no horse figures. The race is awful. The race is
unpredictable. Therefore the race is unreliable.
No
play. Fair enough.
Some
races defy analysis. By all that is fundamental to effective handicapping,
by any standard that counts, the race remains indecipherable.
Because
unpredictable races are so unreliable, forget the fundamentals. Unpredictable
races are the province of handicapping angles. Angles consist of clusters
of factors that tie together in statistically infrequent combinations.
Positive angles have worked well in the past for the individual, well
enough to toss profits at least occasionally.
Uncommon
trainer patterns are favorite angles of many casual handicappers. Puzzling
races are absolutely the appropriate repository of trainer angles. Probe
for them.
Other
productive angles involve biases, early speed, and long shots noticeably
sharp on body language
A
circumstance that must always accompany handicapping angles is generous
odds, maybe high odds. Angles represent low probability outcomes. Low
odds nullifies any substantive edge an angle allows.
