MYTH
YOU
CAN BEAT A RACE,
BUT YOU CAN'T BEAT THE RACES.
There is no such
things as a sure thing.
The
racing game is characterized by a large error factor. In any particular
race something can go wrong, and frequently something does go
wrong. Sometimes it makes sense to bet more aggressively than
normal , but the fallacy of thinking you can beat a particular
race for big money represents a high risk even under the best
of circumstances. If the practice is repeated frequently, the
player has a splendid chance of getting crushed.
MAXIM
YOU CAN BEAT THE RACES,
BUT YOU CAN NEVER BE SURE OF BEATING A RACE.
This
is a game of percentages and probabilities. The percentages and
probabilities repeat themselves season after season and handicappers
want to play with the odds and percentages on their side.
In
a positive situation, where you are playing a winning game, the
approach that works best is to play as often as time and schedules
permit and bet confidently and systematically, but not too aggressively.
Overly aggressive betting is penalized by this game. Do not bet
too much too often.
The
way to turn the percentages and probabilities in your favor is
to learn as much as you can about the ideas and methods of handicapping
and to play as frequently as you can, at least until you have
enough evidence to certify yourself as a good player and winner.
A winning season, repeated twice, constitutes acceptable evidence
you know how to win.
The
great promise of the racing game is that once you've learned how
to play and how to win you can repeat the winning season after
season, at least in the straight pools where you bet primarily
to win.
Learn
about the percentages and probabilities associated with this game
and honor them. You may lose a lot of races when you think you
are very likely to win, and you can never be sure of beating a
particular race. But you can beat the races rather consistently
and nothing about the math or statistics associated with playing
the races can prevent a winning player from winning in the long
run.