1.
The stretch gain is important.
The stretch gain is relatively unimportant, especially
when delivered by horses that finish from far behind
the frontrunners. 2.
Speed duels weaken the horses that engage
in them. Sometimes they do, but more often than
not one of the speed horses survives the early duel
and wins.
3.
Jockeys are a significant factor in handicapping.
Jockeys can be more important in stakes races and
in grass races, but typically jockeys should be
considered an incidental factor in handicapping.
THE
BIGGEST MYTH ABOUT BETTING
AT THE RACES
Longshots
should be bet to place and show.
Longshots should be bet to win. That's where
the value is. Even when longshots finish second
and third the payoffs will be low because the pools
must be shared with the other horses in the money.
Those other horses usually include the favorite
and low-priced contenders.As
a rule, horses having odds of 2-1 or higher should
be bet to win. The best bets to place and to show
involve low-priced and odds-on favorites, horses
below 2-1.
MYTHS
& MAXIMS
You
can't beat the races.
You
can beat a race, but you can't beat the
races.
Secrets
of beating the races exist, and some people
know what they are.
Racing's
insiders know something the customers do
not know.
Several
races are fixed, so playing the races amounts
to playing an unfair game.
Playing
the races is gambling.
The
purpose of handicapping the races is to
pick winners.