WEIGHT
Handicappers
can take the following as gospel. A study of approximately
30,000 past performance lines has revealed beyond dispute
that horses carrying higher weights tend to run faster than
horses carrying lower weights.
One
pound was found to be worth .09 lengths in favor of the horse
carrying the higher weight.
No
area of handicapping finds horseman and handicappers in greater
disagreement, with the horsemen seemingly obsessive about
weight and weight differences, but the facts support handicappers
who proceed by abandoning weight as an independent factor
in handicapping.
The
same studies show unequivocally that weight shirts, pounds
on and pounds off, are of little importance in both sprints
and routes.
Weight
is essentially a function of recent form and class. Handicappers
best focus on those prime factors, and forget about weight.