TRACK
SURFACE/POST POSITION
Wet
surfaces generally favor speed horses.
Drying surfaces may favor speed or stamina (closers).
Specifically:
Wet
fast favors speed
Sloppy favors speed
Muddy favors speed
Good favors speed or stamina
Heavy favors stamina
Soft
grass favors horses who like that footing, as indicated by
past wins. Foreign grass horses tend to like soft and yielding
turf courses more than their American counter parts.
Post
position is usually an incidental factor in handicapping,
rarely decisive.
The
most difficult post to overcome finds frontrunners and pace-pressers
outside (post 8 or wider) at 1 mile and 1 1/16 mile. With
a short run to the clubhouse turn, the horses swing wide while
being used. That's a legitimate excuse for fading, and often
an attractive trip playback.
Post
Position No. 1 has a tainted reputation in sprints, but the
reputation is not deserved. In the absence of a negative rail
bias, the rail post wins equally as often as other post positions.
Do not mark rail horses down unfairly.
In
grass routes, inside posts should be preferred. They win more
than their fair share, and sometimes dominate.
After
race meetings have been running for 30 days, check the post-position
statistics in the Daily Racing Form to identify any post-position
biases, positive or negative.